Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.014662 0.016392 0.018140 0.020033 0.022020 0.024039 0.026240
2025-05-18 0.011215 0.013878 0.016694 0.019867 0.023315 0.026927 0.030974
2025-05-25 0.008973 0.012074 0.015476 0.019420 0.023811 0.028502 0.033847
2025-06-01 0.007393 0.010779 0.014621 0.019188 0.024374 0.030001 0.036497
2025-06-08 0.006055 0.009602 0.013762 0.018828 0.024684 0.031128 0.038649
2025-06-15 0.005147 0.008837 0.013301 0.018848 0.025360 0.032603 0.041132
2025-06-22 0.004192 0.007906 0.012559 0.018472 0.025520 0.033450 0.042868
2025-06-29 0.003259 0.006894 0.011638 0.017813 0.025296 0.033813 0.044017
2025-07-06 0.002390 0.005850 0.010592 0.016936 0.024760 0.033773 0.044667
2025-07-13 0.002062 0.005560 0.010506 0.017228 0.025604 0.035316 0.047114
2025-07-20 0.001629 0.005041 0.010070 0.017049 0.025853 0.036146 0.048723
2025-07-27 0.001232 0.004511 0.009577 0.016765 0.025950 0.036778 0.050087
2025-08-03 0.000958 0.004180 0.009397 0.016948 0.026706 0.038293 0.052605
2025-08-10 0.000647 0.003702 0.008977 0.016812 0.027082 0.039382 0.054668
2025-08-17 0.000365 0.003150 0.008384 0.016399 0.027075 0.039984 0.056132
2025-08-24 0.000189 0.002735 0.007959 0.016186 0.027299 0.040849 0.057893
2025-08-31 0.000065 0.002316 0.007474 0.015855 0.027349 0.041484 0.059365
2025-09-07 0.000016 0.002063 0.007246 0.015874 0.027841 0.042651 0.061463
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001711 0.006787 0.015529 0.027834 0.043189 0.062796
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001319 0.006181 0.014925 0.027459 0.043251 0.063541
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000928 0.005478 0.014123 0.026784 0.042915 0.063786
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000849 0.005460 0.014390 0.027562 0.044405 0.066245
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000679 0.005183 0.014227 0.027736 0.045124 0.067759